This weekend is the first Cup to win in England for the year in the EFL Cup (also known as the Tin Pot Cup, for fans on Twitter whose clubs didn't win it). This year we have José Mourinho's Manchester United against Claude Puel's Southampton. We are going to go through the odds, props and everything so you know who is going to win and of course, who to put your hard earned money on this Sunday!
Manchester United F.C.
Premier League Position: Sixth Place
Form (All Comps): DWWWWW
José Mourinho will go for his typical "chase for the EFL Cup" as the Red Devils go into this match in amazing form as they are riding high in the Premier League, advancing to the next round of the FA Cup and also going through in the Europa League. The key players in this match for the Red Devils will be, Zlatan Ibrahimović, Paul Pogba, and Anthony Martial. I know I picked all attacking players but Manchester United have a GOLDEN ticket to get a trophy as Southampton are without Virgil van Dijk and let's be honest without him and José Fonte (transferred to West Ham) it should be easy for these high-quality players to batter Southampton.
De Gea; Valencia, Blind, Mojo, Shaw; Herrera, Pogba; Mata, Rooney, Martial; Ibrahimovic
Premier League Position: Eleventh Place
Form (All Comps): WLLLWW
Southampton may be having a rough season in 11th place but of late they have been improving especially going forward with their new striker Manolo Gabbiadini. Even though he looks like someone who is coming off a 10-day binge on nothing but cocaine, he has been a revelation with three goals in two games. For Southampton to shock England and get this win they will have to heavily rely on their two center backs in Stephens and Yoshida to have the games of their lives. Also, they won't have many chances so all of the pressure will fall on Gabbaidini and Tadic to make sure no chance go without testing David De Gea.
Forster; Soares, Stephens, Yoshida, Bertrand; Davis, Romeo; Ward-Prowse, Tadic, Redmond; Gabbiadini
Southampton - [+325]
Draw - [+235]
Manchester United - [-136]
Over (2.5) - [+125]
Under (2.5) - [-145]
So I think for this, you need to go with the over. Since the "New Wembley" was opened in 2007, six of the nine finals have been over the 2.5 goals mark. Due to this stat, it does seem that the game is most likely to have goals or go to extra time. Also, with Manchester United have the tendency to look inconsistent at the back and Southampton with a very sub-par Center Back pairing against Zlatan and others this game more than every other is the perfect "betting the over" situation.
I feel good about this pick, last time I did one of these I perfectly predicted the North London Derby and I am as confident as I was in this blog that the winner of the EFL Cup will be Manchester United! Southampton will have an uphill battle without Virgil van Dijk and I just can't trust Yoshida and Stephens to stop the monster that is that Manchester United's forward three. I really do want the Saints to shock the world and win but, they won't, Manchester United to be victorious 3-1.
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