Even though we are only a little more than one-third of the way into the Premier League Season, I have to break the news to you, West Ham look like they are on track to be relegated. West Ham is in 17th place in the Premier League (one above the relegation zone) and could go in the drop zone next weekend as they take on Liverpool away from home. Lets take an in depth at the Hammers and tell you why they will get relegated.
Betting Odds: +600
At this time last season, West Ham were a complete force as they were in eighth place. To understand the issue, we need to look at goals against and goals for. This time last season they had 25 goals scored with 21 goals conceded and this year they have only scored 15 goals and have let in 29 goals (second worst in the Premier League). This is a MASSIVE issue, as seen with Sunderland and Newcastle last year, the biggest difference between them was that one had a proven Premier League goal scorer (Jermain Defoe) which is why they stayed up over Newcastle. If the trend of conceding two goals a game sticks for the entire season they will be conceding 70+ goals which only one club did last season which was Aston Villa who finished bottom.
There was a lot said this summer over the move from the Boleyn Ground to West Ham's new home, the London Stadium and the negative effects it has on West Ham and their supporters. Many supporters are dissatisfied at Karren Brady (vice president of the club) as they believe the stadium wasn't meant for a football team. The most troubling stat is that West Ham in seven home matches have conceded 14 goals. Worse than all three of the teams that were relegated last year which for West Ham fans should be a huge worry especially since they have only scored seven which is five less than they had last year which is once again showing massive regression at the club.
Dmitri Payet and West Ham is the closest possible thing in modern football to a one man team. West Ham signed the Frenchman last summer and quickly became one of the the best players in the Premier League last year and was one of the main reasons why France made it to the final in the European Championship this summer. As Payet is turning 30 this March, this could be his last chance to join a big club as he is slowly aging. West Ham aren't the biggest club despite having a decent sized fan base and are based in the heart of London, but that won't be enough to keep him as I think he will be moving on in the January Transfer Window.
Not Since Gareth Bale have the world of football had a player who will be this sought after in a January window for ONE major reason. He isn't cup tied to the Champions League. Rule 18.07 says that:
"if a player features in the first, second or third qualifying rounds of either the Champions League or Europa League, he can play for another club in either competition from the group stages onwards, provided his former employers do not reach the group stages themselves".
Due to this rule, this is a huge transfer window for clubs like PSG, Arsenal, Manchester City, and even Borussia Dortmund who are just a couple of major pieces away from actually winning this season in the Champions League. This is why there aren’t many major moves in January because teams don't want to spend money on a player they won't be able to use for European Competitions but to have a player who was second behind Antoine Griezmann as the best player at the Euros in a relegation battle, why wouldn't those clubs spend 30-35 million on him? West Ham may have money but when you are at the prime of your career do you want to be playing five months in a relegation battle or the Champions League winning trophies? It's a no-brainer.
Stat: Last season their win percentage was 14.3 Perfect without Payet in the lineup.
As seen last season, anything can happen, I could be wrong but watching this team this season and looking at in-depth stats, I am sorry West Ham fans, but you are going down.
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